Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 19.723334 22.325705 25.162868 28.488895 32.285375 36.488605 41.501666
2025-02-09 15.697840 19.078840 23.050235 28.071888 34.270309 41.693784 51.293379
2025-02-16 12.490315 16.155955 20.753399 26.970303 35.200275 45.780537 60.508024
2025-02-23 10.198560 13.955600 18.956424 26.147057 36.300031 50.239912 71.029951
2025-03-02 8.511863 12.261243 17.531037 25.549805 37.570446 55.121286 83.055779
2025-03-09 7.296299 11.019351 16.522100 25.348335 39.342196 60.993259 97.650493
2025-03-16 6.314645 9.960693 15.605501 25.113328 40.997621 66.948562 113.532075
2025-03-23 5.724524 9.410798 15.375835 25.905253 44.406406 76.271203 136.832840
2025-03-30 5.088122 8.685653 14.747121 25.917879 46.482470 83.681808 158.263172
2025-04-06 4.447955 7.857849 13.819097 25.248358 47.213084 88.793591 176.420797
2025-04-13 3.942665 7.193395 13.077383 24.788843 48.235001 94.590932 197.078250
2025-04-20 3.660797 6.895422 12.955420 25.475238 51.585500 105.512145 230.655247
2025-04-27 3.443644 6.700056 13.018865 26.581304 56.080755 119.819559 275.376145
2025-05-04 3.162964 6.341559 12.713812 26.886849 58.953582 131.247014 316.306886
2025-05-11 2.833456 5.839180 12.047784 26.317279 59.800561 138.326560 348.506219
2025-05-18 2.555847 5.407735 11.470348 25.852376 60.812413 146.011038 384.215144
2025-05-25 2.321683 5.038370 10.975757 25.498628 62.032188 154.461777 424.168337
2025-06-01 2.138653 4.757683 10.639185 25.465372 64.046294 165.347341 473.807603
2025-06-08 1.970244 4.488004 10.290824 25.347846 65.828380 176.002531 525.668491
2025-06-15 1.881537 4.392347 10.337294 26.235035 70.458855 195.445107 609.847988
2025-06-22 1.753437 4.185551 10.087289 26.310092 72.871994 209.113393 679.482206
2025-06-29 1.600537 3.898557 9.600640 25.672893 73.140799 216.527007 730.372585
2025-07-06 1.473766 3.661288 9.208852 25.235206 73.918152 225.671214 789.990730